"A study impressive for its sweep and ambition, as well as for its academic rigor. Taking on a remarkable range of fundamental issues relating to democracy and governance, the authors raise critical questions and offer important explanations of direct value to policymakers as well as scholars." --Thomas Carothers, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace "This book is principled, systematic, and very transparent in its forecasting of governance and conflict." --Kristian Gleditsch, University of Essex and International Peace Research Institute "Forecasting is the third act of reason: learning from the past, knowing the present, and preparing for the future. Congratulations for a job really well done!" --Monty Marshall, Director, Center for Systemic Peace and Polity IV Project "This volume and the International Futures model are outstanding tools for grappling with the ideas of governance and development." --Evan Hillebrand, University of Kentucky "Measuring governance is difficult enough; forecasting it is an ambitious undertaking. Congratulations on this contribution to our understanding of governance, fragility, and conflict." --Alastair McKechnie, Overseas Development Institute Research Associate-Evan Hillebrand, University of Kentucky "Measuring governance is difficult enough; forecasting it is an ambitious undertaking.

Congratulations on this contribution to our understanding of governance, fragility, and conflict." --Alastair McKechnie, Overseas Development Institute Research Associate.