Dr. Allan J. Lichtman is a preeminent American historian, political analyst, and the Distinguished Professor of History at American University in Washington, D.C., where he has educated students and shaped historical discourse since 1973. Recognized for his scholarly rigor and media acumen, Dr. Lichtman has established himself as one of the nation's most authoritative voices on the American presidency and political history. Dr.
Lichtman is perhaps best known globally for developing "The Keys to the White House," a pioneering election prediction system created in collaboration with geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok. Focusing on historical patterns and the stability of the incumbent party rather than transient polling data, this model famously allowed Dr. Lichtman to accurately forecast the popular vote winner of nearly every U.S. presidential election from 1984 through 2020, including the upset victory of Donald Trump in 2016. Beyond his predictive work, Dr. Lichtman is the author of numerous influential and award-winning books that explore the depths of American political culture. His comprehensive history of modern conservatism, White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement, was a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award in Nonfiction.
His nuanced reassessment of presidential leadership during the Holocaust, FDR and the Jews (co-authored with Richard Breitman), won the prestigious National Jewish Book Award and was a finalist for the Los Angeles Times Book Prize. His other notable works include The Case for Impeachment, which was cited by major media outlets as "the most important book of the year" upon its release, and The Embattled Vote in America, a sweeping history of voting rights. A tireless advocate for civil rights, Dr. Lichtman has served as an expert witness in over 75 civil rights and voting rights cases across the United States, lending his historical expertise to the defense of democratic institutions. He is a frequent commentator for major networks including CNN, MSNBC, and FOX News, and engages a global audience through his popular YouTube channel and live stream, Lichtman Live. Dr. Lichtman graduated magna cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa from Brandeis University and earned his Ph.D.
in history from Harvard University as a Graduate Prize Fellow. A man of diverse talents, he is also a former steeplechase champion, having won the 3000-meter title at the USATF Masters Outdoor Championships, and continues to compete actively in long-distance races. He lives in the Washington, D.C. area.