Introduction: Enter the Mosaic Part I: Probability and Probabilism Chapter 1: On the Genealogy of Probability A Genealogical Approach From Parlor Games to Large Numbers The Splintering of Probability Turning Frequency into Objectivity The Subjective and the Objective The Present Situation Chapter 2: Introducing Objective Probability A Different Route to Probability Probabilistic Inference: Abduction and Synchysis Kries and Peirce on Probability Pragmatism and Objective Probability Kries's Diffuse Influence on Subsequent Thinking About Probability American Sociology and Objective Probability: A Missed Chance Du Bois and the Probabilist Theory of Action Part II: Classical and Contemporary Chapter 3: Max Weber, the Probabilist The Making of Economy and Society Weber Discovers the Probabilistic Loop Probabilistic Rationalization The Protestant Ethic as the Construction of a Probability Order Distance, Range, and Orientation Probabilistic Power The Legitimacy of Legitimate Orders Coda: Weber, the Probabilist Chapter 4: Pierre Bourdieu Rediscovers Probabilism The Origins of Bourdieu's Probabilism Objective Probability After Logos Internalized and Objective Probability in The Logic of Practice Bourdieu's Journey to Probabilism Recasting Bourdieu's Key Concepts Probabilistic Sociology in a Bourdieusian Mold Part III: Theory and Cognition Chapter 5: Probabilism and Social Theory Beyond Realism and Interpretivism Hume's Wager From Central Problems to Basic Questions Bruno Latour's Clean Slate From the Study of Associations to the Study of Chances Investigating Probability Orders via Distributions Off the Port, Out to Sea Toward a Theory of the Test Chapter 6: Probability in Cognition Continuism and the Predictive Brain Helmholtz Discovers Prediction The Unbearable Lightness of Predicting The Principle of Active Inference Building a Probabilistic Sociology via Predictive Processing Sense and Segmentation: Horizontal and Vertical Crossings Addiction as Action The Study of Action Is the Study of Probability Part IV: Implications Chapter 7: An Outline of Probabilist Method A Dialogue Between Sociologicus and Philosophicus A New Scientific Image Fields, Spaces, and Probability Single-Case Probability Adequate Cause and the Limits of Interpretation Abductive and Synchytic Logic Finding the Chancemakers Steps Toward a Probabilist Method Chapter 8: Reconfiguring Our Grasp on the Social World A New Linguistic Analogue What Is the Smallest Unit? Three Kinds of Looping Effect Interpretation Loops Description Loops Probability Loops A New Continuity Frame Probabilistic Social Truth Epilogue: Theory Versus Machines On Theory On Machines On Fate and Fatedness Glossary Notes Index.