ContentsIntroduction 1PART I FOUNDATION 1 Sorting out the "methodological chaos": A tour of the main methodological structures of scenario planning 7Jörg M. Delhaes, Ana C. L. Vieira, , António Alvarenga and Mónica D. Oliveira2 Update on a theoretical model of scenario planning: Empirical evidence and supporting research - towards a theory 33Thomas J. Chermack and Jessica M. Serkey BishopPART II FRAMING CONSIDERATIONS 3 Escaping the enlightenment's damaging legacy: Scenario planning as if-then conditional prospection 54James Derbyshire4 The wayfinder's approach to futures 73Mushfiqa Monica Jamaluddin, Heba Alhadyian and Abdulrahman Alsulaimi5 Reframing and futures literacy: Tackling the poverty of the modern imagination 96Kwamou Eva Feukeu6 The wilds beyond 2x2 futures: An enquiry into decolonising foresight 118Sophia Bazile and Geci Karuri-Sebina7 Exploring cultural diversity in scenario planning and futures thinking practices 142 Per Dannemand Andersen and Monamie B. Haines PART III DEVELOPING SCENARIO STORYLINES 8 From causality to relationality: (Re)emplotting scenarios 165 Adam Cowart 9 Designing scenarios from stakeholders' acts: Directions and lessons from extreme strategic action scenarios 182 Fabrice Roubelat and Anne Marchais-Roubelat PART IV PROCESS INTERVENTIONS 10 Examining emotion in the facilitation of scenario planning 201 Nicholas J.
Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol 11 Exploring creativity and insight in the scenario process 220 Gökhan Gökmen and Peter McKiernan 12 In the thick of it: Scenario planning at a time of crisis 243 Maureen Meadows, Alessandro Merendino and Frances A. O'Brien 13 Team diversity in scenario planning: Theoretical insights and implications for team composition 265 Harry Patria and Efstathios Tapinos 14 Leveraging AI for strategic foresight: Unveiling future horizons 285 Elena Fitkov-Norris and Nataliya Kocheva PART V PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS 15 The government foresight framework 306 Mariam Saif Al Mansoori 16 Designing utopian queer futures - Using scenario planning to think critically about the queer experience of artificial intelligence 329 Dawn McAra-Hunter17 The COVID-19 pandemic as a wake-up call: Delphi-based scenarios and their implications for the generics and biosimilars industry 2030+ 353 Nick Lange, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Stefanie Kisgen 18 Methodological exploration of improved reference scenario approaches: A case study in NOVA SBE Executive Education 372 António Alvarenga and Ana C. L. Vieira PART VI OUTCOMES AND VALIDATIONS 19 Foresight, strategy, and impact 391 Adam Vigdor Gordon 20 A conceptual framework to evaluate scenarios and futures 402 Daniel J. W. Arthur and Graham W.
Winch 21 Measuring the quality of scenarios generated using the simple scenarios technique 431 Dilek Önkal and Mandeep K. Dhami 22 Evaluating effects of scenario planning: Lessons from medical research 454 Shardul S. Phadnis.